-1% Since '07?Posted on Friday, October 14th, 2011 at 3:21am.
Lots of peak-year resales have trouble recouping their original sales prices.
To cite just one example we've recently cited here, the newer, ocean-view TH at 2211 Bayview fetched 13% less than its 2007 acquisition price in a recent open-market sale.
No big surprise there – the years 2006-07 largely mark the peak of local RE. You expect some dropoff.
|605 33rd just sold for $2.475m off market.|
Late last week, 605 33rd posted a sale at $2.475m, just $40k below the March 2007 sale at $2.515m.
Total decline from peak: 1.6%. That's one-point-six, not sixteen.
It's quite a feat.
It's also the priciest sale among comparably sized homes in the Tree Section this year.
Here are this year's 10 other Tree Section sales over $2m for homes of similar or smaller interior size on single lots (sorted by priciest first):
|616 17th is one of the priciest resales in the Trees in 2011.|
632 29th (5br/6ba, 3350 sq. ft.) at $2.312m. (Sold off-market.)
742 33rd (5br/5ba, 3975 sq. ft.) at $2.275m.
1816 Palm (5br/4ba, 3800 sq. ft.) at $2.181m.
709 25th (5br/5ba, 3800 sq. ft.) at $2.175m.
569 35th (4br/6ba, 3700 sq. ft.) at $2.175m.
660 29th (5br/4ba, 3450 sq. ft.) at $2.150m.
|2604 Pine sold off-market for $2.135m - down 16% from Fall '06.|
2100 Pine (5br/5ba, 3100 sq. ft.) at $2.030m.
3005 Poinsettia (5br/4ba, 3250 sq. ft.) at $2.025m. (See "Prime Spot, 20% Hit.")
Interesting list there, including a few with significant losses against 2006-08 purchases.
The home with top billing above, 616 17th at $2.425m, was a lovely custom chateau on a bigger lot (6125 sq. ft. vs. 5400 for 33rd) in a transcendent location – 17th St. on the Martyrs hill.
Somehow, 605 33rd outsold that home, lot and location by $50k.
|742 33rd lost 16% since 2007.|
By that PPSF yardstick, 605 33rd has just sold for 15% more by the square foot.
Also worth noting about 742 33rd – those sellers didn't escape the effects of a popped bubble. (See "How Two '08 Purchases Fared at Resale.")
They paid $2.7m for the home new in June 2008 (discounted from a start at $3.3m!), but resold this year for $425k less – a drop of 16%.
That's more like the scale of the drop that you'd expect from peak till now.
|2604 Pine lost 16% since 2007.|
Yes, that sale at 605 33rd was quite a feat.
We're still looking for others in the Trees that resold flat to a peak year. (Cue the crickets.)
Had 33rd gone for 84% of its 2007 price, that would have been $2.112m, or $363k less. (Not that the owners would have been sellers near that price.)
To be fair, that 2007 sale at 605 33rd was down from the asking price. A full year earlier, in March 2006, the listing for the (then) brand-new home kicked up at $2.750m. That may have seemed almost reasonable at the time – in those unreasonable times. So the ultimate acquisition price for the new home was down $275k (-10%) off the ambitious start from a full year earlier.
Moreover, the outgoing owners did put some time and money into some upgrades – flooring, outfitting the garage, adding a security system.
But it was still $2.5m in 2007, and as we've demonstrated here, no one has come close to 605 33rd yet in 2011 for a Tree Section resale of comparable size.
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